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Red64
112628.5
130825.5
265620.5
Blue41
170817.1
404925.7
461517.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61552040801006441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.6
25.025.6
Auto8.7
Teleop13.7
End6.0
red by 2.7
4049
#35
25.71.5
20.418.9
Auto5.4
Teleop15.3
End5.0
Second
1308
#34
25.50.6
17.217.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.3
End5.4
red by 8.1
4615
#45
17.41.5
14.412.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End4.3
Third
2656
#30
20.50.6
16.016.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.1
End5.0
red by 3.5
1708
#43
17.11.5
19.818.3
Auto1.5
Teleop12.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed