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Red84
254426.7
29121.7
313828.4
Blue57
306217.2
319317.4
301530.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56622040801001208457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3138
#29
28.42.6
22.124.7
Auto5.5
Teleop18.1
End4.7
blue by 2.1
30.40.3
26.626.3
Auto6.2
Teleop17.1
End7.2
Second
2544
#11
26.72.6
17.319.9
Auto9.6
Teleop12.9
End4.2
red by 9.3
3193
#46
17.40.3
18.017.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.3
End1.0
Third
291
#27
21.72.6
16.218.8
Auto8.2
Teleop9.1
End4.4
red by 4.5
3062
#47
17.20.3
14.914.6
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned38%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed