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Red42
130825.5
306217.2
461517.4
Blue64
205119.8
15624.1
426927.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446120801004264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1308
#34
25.50.4
17.817.4
Auto7.8
Teleop12.3
End5.4
blue by 1.5
4269
#19
27.00.8
21.722.5
Auto8.6
Teleop12.6
End5.8
Second
4615
#45
17.40.4
12.912.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End4.3
blue by 6.8
156
#23
24.10.8
19.219.9
Auto5.0
Teleop15.2
End3.9
Third
3062
#47
17.20.4
14.614.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End2.9
blue by 2.6
2051
#40
19.80.8
16.217.0
Auto6.1
Teleop11.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsMissed49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed