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Red41
395521.3
69524.8
11713.7
Blue27
318117.4
306217.2
614313.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575002040801001201401604127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#18
24.81.5
20.018.6
Auto8.8
Teleop12.3
End3.7
red by 7.4
3181
#44
17.42.5
17.915.4
Auto1.0
Teleop14.3
End2.0
Second
3955
#41
21.31.5
18.216.7
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End4.4
red by 4.1
3062
#47
17.22.5
15.813.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End2.9
Third
117
#49
13.71.5
15.914.4
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End2.2
red by 0.5
6143
#50
13.30.1
13.313.2
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed