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Red78
446728.4
350426.0
402721.6
Blue85
313828.4
301530.4
403119.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6572204060801007885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4467
#16
28.41.5
24.826.3
Auto6.9
Teleop18.2
End3.3
blue by 2.1
30.40.6
27.628.3
Auto6.2
Teleop17.1
End7.2
Second
3504
#24
26.01.5
24.225.7
Auto4.9
Teleop17.1
End4.0
blue by 2.4
3138
#29
28.40.6
23.223.9
Auto5.5
Teleop18.1
End4.7
Third
4027
#39
21.61.5
15.116.7
Auto8.1
Teleop11.1
End2.5
red by 2.1
4031
#42
19.50.6
18.419.0
Auto5.3
Teleop12.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed