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Red42
306217.2
395521.3
12827.7
Blue70
178728.8
405024.9
205329.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56702040801004270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
128
#17
27.71.6
22.921.3
Auto6.2
Teleop15.9
End5.6
blue by 1.8
29.50.4
25.225.7
Auto8.6
Teleop13.6
End7.2
Second
3955
#41
21.31.6
19.317.7
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End4.4
blue by 7.6
1787
#26
28.80.4
22.623.0
Auto8.7
Teleop15.1
End5.0
Third
3062
#47
17.21.6
14.312.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End2.9
blue by 7.7
4050
#14
24.90.4
18.318.8
Auto8.0
Teleop13.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed