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Red82
351119.4
261428.1
29121.7
Blue60
402721.6
130825.5
320117.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67592040801001208260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#21
28.11.2
28.529.7
Auto9.3
Teleop15.9
End2.9
red by 2.6
1308
#34
25.50.2
22.622.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.3
End5.4
Second
291
#27
21.72.0
20.522.5
Auto8.2
Teleop9.1
End4.4
red by 0.1
4027
#39
21.60.2
19.319.5
Auto8.1
Teleop11.1
End2.5
Third
3511
#22
19.42.0
15.117.1
Auto6.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
red by 1.9
3201
#52
17.50.2
16.316.5
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed