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Red67
254426.7
446728.4
320117.5
Blue83
581126.8
178728.8
112628.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68782040601001206783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4467
#16
28.40.0
26.826.8
Auto6.9
Teleop18.2
End3.3
blue by 0.5
1787
#26
28.80.9
24.725.6
Auto8.7
Teleop15.1
End5.0
Second
2544
#11
26.70.0
23.923.9
Auto9.6
Teleop12.9
End4.2
blue by 1.7
28.50.9
27.228.2
Auto8.7
Teleop13.7
End6.0
Third
3201
#52
17.50.0
16.516.5
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End2.2
blue by 9.4
26.81.0
22.023.0
Auto7.5
Teleop15.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned