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Red62
33722.9
150731.4
264112.0
Blue59
306217.2
454723.8
403119.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71582040801006259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#32
31.40.5
32.532.1
Auto9.7
Teleop14.3
End7.4
red by 7.7
4547
#33
23.80.1
26.126.2
Auto8.7
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Second
337
#48
22.90.5
23.523.0
Auto8.2
Teleop10.0
End4.6
red by 3.4
4031
#42
19.50.1
17.517.6
Auto5.3
Teleop12.3
End1.9
Third
2641
#51
12.00.5
10.710.3
Auto2.4
Teleop8.7
End0.9
blue by 5.2
3062
#47
17.20.1
14.314.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed