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Red80
306217.2
405024.9
254426.7
Blue74
574025.2
174318.9
402721.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616902040801001201408074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2544
#11
26.71.4
23.925.3
Auto9.6
Teleop12.9
End4.2
red by 1.5
5740
#10
25.20.3
25.125.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End7.7
Second
4050
#14
24.91.6
22.424.0
Auto8.0
Teleop13.9
End3.0
red by 3.2
4027
#39
21.60.3
19.820.1
Auto8.1
Teleop11.1
End2.5
Third
3062
#47
17.21.4
14.415.8
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End2.9
blue by 1.7
1743
#37
18.90.3
21.421.7
Auto4.0
Teleop10.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed