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Red53
170817.1
261428.1
319317.4
Blue87
318117.4
12827.7
404925.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66654050607080905387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#21
28.10.7
29.628.9
Auto9.3
Teleop15.9
End2.9
red by 0.4
128
#17
27.71.3
24.125.4
Auto6.2
Teleop15.9
End5.6
Second
3193
#46
17.41.1
16.315.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.3
End1.0
blue by 8.3
4049
#35
25.71.3
23.825.1
Auto5.4
Teleop15.3
End5.0
Third
1708
#43
17.11.1
18.117.1
Auto1.5
Teleop12.5
End3.0
blue by 0.3
3181
#44
17.41.3
15.616.9
Auto1.0
Teleop14.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsMissed45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed