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Red95
130825.5
319317.4
178728.8
Blue60
614313.3
155928.1
33722.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676940506080901009560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1787
#26
28.82.2
26.628.8
Auto8.7
Teleop15.1
End5.0
red by 0.7
1559
#36
28.10.6
29.428.8
Auto6.2
Teleop16.5
End5.4
Second
1308
#34
25.52.2
23.225.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.3
End5.4
red by 2.5
337
#48
22.90.6
23.522.9
Auto8.2
Teleop10.0
End4.6
Third
3193
#46
17.42.2
15.217.4
Auto5.1
Teleop11.3
End1.0
red by 4.2
6143
#50
13.30.6
13.913.3
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed