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Red126
540634.5
112628.5
155928.1
Blue100
150731.4
205329.5
454723.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116103406080140160126100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.4
34.635.0
Auto7.0
Teleop23.1
End4.4
red by 3.1
1507
#32
31.40.3
31.731.4
Auto9.7
Teleop14.3
End7.4
Second
28.50.4
28.629.0
Auto8.7
Teleop13.7
End6.0
blue by 1.0
29.50.3
29.829.5
Auto8.6
Teleop13.6
End7.2
Third
1559
#36
28.10.4
28.328.7
Auto6.2
Teleop16.5
End5.4
red by 4.4
4547
#33
23.80.2
24.023.8
Auto8.7
Teleop12.8
End2.3