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Red84
121831.9
36549.5
1127.8
Blue48
167632.5
260734.2
20326.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116920501502008448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#1
49.50.0
49.549.5
Auto12.8
Teleop28.8
End7.9
red by 15.3
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End4.7
Second
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.2
End4.9
blue by 0.6
1676
#13
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto10.8
Teleop17.4
End4.3
Third
11
#10
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6
red by 1.3
203
#17
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto6.4
Teleop17.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
28%Capture odds5%Capture odds