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Red76
457527.5
125736.0
260734.2
Blue31
32134.0
1127.8
19337.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011014060801207631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1257
#15
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto10.7
Teleop18.9
End6.4
blue by 1.5
193
#8
37.50.0
37.537.5
Auto11.1
Teleop20.7
End5.7
Second
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End4.7
red by 0.2
321
#16
34.00.0
34.034.0
Auto10.4
Teleop18.1
End5.5
Third
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto6.8
Teleop19.0
End1.8
blue by 0.3
11
#10
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
15%Capture odds44%Capture odds