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Red64
121831.9
463721.9
20326.5
Blue81
457527.5
392925.0
43323.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83780501001506481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.2
End4.9
red by 4.4
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto6.8
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Second
203
#17
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto6.4
Teleop17.7
End2.4
red by 1.5
3929
#11
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto9.0
Teleop12.6
End3.4
Third
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
blue by 2.0
433
#14
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds72%Breach odds
Capture
8%Capture odds3%Capture odds