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Red63
42326.3
27228.5
19337.5
Blue57
1127.8
43323.9
167632.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97850501502006357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#8
37.50.0
37.537.5
Auto11.1
Teleop20.7
End5.7
red by 5.0
1676
#13
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto10.8
Teleop17.4
End4.3
Second
272
#5
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto11.7
Teleop14.5
End2.3
red by 0.8
11
#10
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Third
423
#9
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto8.1
Teleop13.8
End4.4
red by 2.4
433
#14
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
77%Capture odds9%Capture odds