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Red120
259028.2
121826.2
540721.9
Blue96
260729.9
83430.2
255922.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9010805015020012096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#22
28.20.6
27.628.2
Auto9.3
Teleop16.5
End2.4
blue by 2.0
834
#2
30.20.2
30.430.2
Auto11.2
Teleop15.3
End3.7
Second
26.20.6
25.626.2
Auto7.8
Teleop13.5
End4.8
blue by 3.7
2607
#12
29.90.2
30.129.9
Auto7.3
Teleop16.7
End5.9
Third
5407
#23
21.90.6
21.321.9
Auto7.0
Teleop12.1
End2.8
blue by 0.8
2559
#13
22.70.2
22.922.7
Auto5.8
Teleop12.9
End4.1