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Red107
34135.2
2537.1
180714.5
Blue97
545721.9
209527.3
223422.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117875010015020010797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#1
37.10.3
38.838.5
Auto9.8
Teleop21.6
End5.7
red by 9.9
27.30.0
27.027.1
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End3.9
Second
341
#4
35.20.3
36.836.5
Auto7.0
Teleop21.2
End7.0
red by 12.4
2234
#14
22.70.0
22.522.5
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End4.1
Third
1807
#30
14.50.3
16.015.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End1.0
blue by 7.3
5457
#16
21.90.0
21.621.7
Auto5.1
Teleop13.9
End2.9