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Red52
259028.2
121826.2
540721.9
Blue91
511324.8
139130.3
253925.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions901074060801001201401605291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#22
28.20.5
27.627.1
Auto9.3
Teleop16.5
End2.4
blue by 2.1
30.30.3
31.030.8
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End4.5
Second
26.20.5
25.625.1
Auto7.8
Teleop13.5
End4.8
red by 1.0
2539
#11
25.20.3
26.025.7
Auto3.3
Teleop16.5
End5.4
Third
5407
#23
21.90.5
21.320.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.1
End2.8
blue by 2.9
5113
#15
24.80.3
25.625.3
Auto6.4
Teleop14.8
End3.5