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Red104
259028.2
121826.2
540721.9
Blue94
511324.8
139130.3
253925.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8910540608012014016010494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#22
28.20.0
27.227.2
Auto9.3
Teleop16.5
End2.4
blue by 2.1
30.30.3
30.530.3
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End4.5
Second
26.20.0
25.225.2
Auto7.8
Teleop13.5
End4.8
red by 1.0
2539
#11
25.20.3
25.525.2
Auto3.3
Teleop16.5
End5.4
Third
5407
#23
21.90.0
20.920.9
Auto7.0
Teleop12.1
End2.8
blue by 2.9
5113
#15
24.80.3
25.124.8
Auto6.4
Teleop14.8
End3.5