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Red48
445429.0
180714.5
518123.5
Blue20
272914.1
219116.1
121826.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4781020601001201401604820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.4
17.016.6
Auto8.0
Teleop16.1
End4.9
red by 2.8
26.27.1
30.323.2
Auto7.8
Teleop13.5
End4.8
Second
5181
#17
23.50.4
17.317.0
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End4.6
red by 7.4
2191
#18
16.17.1
21.614.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End2.5
Third
1807
#30
14.50.4
16.916.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End1.0
red by 0.5
2729
#33
14.17.1
22.014.9
Auto1.0
Teleop11.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed55%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed