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Red72
201627.3
540120.6
445429.0
Blue70
70915.9
139130.3
259028.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596702040801001207270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.01.4
20.822.3
Auto8.0
Teleop16.1
End4.9
blue by 1.3
30.30.6
21.622.2
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End4.5
Second
27.31.4
21.322.8
Auto8.0
Teleop15.8
End3.4
blue by 0.9
2590
#22
28.20.6
28.629.3
Auto9.3
Teleop16.5
End2.4
Third
5401
#20
20.61.4
16.818.3
Auto2.3
Teleop13.5
End4.7
red by 4.7
709
#34
15.90.6
14.114.8
Auto6.1
Teleop8.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed