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Red52
179112.3
180714.5
249517.7
Blue79
511324.8
48620.8
139130.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326502040801005279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2495
#37
17.71.8
14.115.8
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End3.5
blue by 12.6
30.31.2
22.824.0
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End4.5
Second
1807
#30
14.51.8
11.713.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End1.0
blue by 10.3
5113
#15
24.81.2
20.922.1
Auto6.4
Teleop14.8
End3.5
Third
1791
#28
12.31.8
10.212.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End1.3
blue by 8.5
486
#24
20.81.2
14.615.8
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
15%Breach oddsMissed67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed