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Red87
201627.3
48620.8
70827.1
Blue98
445429.0
34135.2
219116.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58672040801001208798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.33.3
20.123.3
Auto8.0
Teleop15.8
End3.4
blue by 7.9
341
#4
35.22.7
26.028.7
Auto7.0
Teleop21.2
End7.0
Second
708
#10
27.13.3
21.825.0
Auto6.9
Teleop14.1
End6.1
blue by 1.9
29.02.7
25.227.9
Auto8.0
Teleop16.1
End4.9
Third
486
#24
20.83.3
15.819.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End4.6
red by 4.7
2191
#18
16.12.7
12.215.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed