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Red79
249517.7
511324.8
445429.0
Blue67
245813.2
260729.9
255922.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6769204060801001207967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.01.5
27.929.3
Auto8.0
Teleop16.1
End4.9
blue by 0.9
2607
#12
29.90.1
31.431.4
Auto7.3
Teleop16.7
End5.9
Second
5113
#15
24.81.5
22.523.9
Auto6.4
Teleop14.8
End3.5
red by 2.1
2559
#13
22.70.1
23.223.3
Auto5.8
Teleop12.9
End4.1
Third
2495
#37
17.71.5
14.616.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End3.5
red by 4.5
2458
#32
13.20.1
11.811.8
Auto0.6
Teleop11.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed