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Red76
13612.6
116823.2
21924.6
Blue99
540434.5
445431.8
463719.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607720401001207699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#25
24.60.4
27.127.4
Auto6.9
Teleop13.4
End4.3
blue by 9.9
34.53.0
22.125.1
Auto6.9
Teleop24.0
End3.6
Second
1168
#20
23.20.6
20.921.5
Auto1.6
Teleop16.9
End4.8
blue by 8.6
31.81.8
30.231.9
Auto7.5
Teleop19.4
End5.0
Third
136
#31
12.60.6
12.513.2
Auto2.3
Teleop9.7
End0.6
blue by 6.5
4637
#13
19.13.0
19.922.9
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned