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Red59
171223.9
137022.1
139130.6
Blue71
27227.9
149519.5
42318.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646460626668705971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.2
30.330.1
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End4.8
red by 2.7
272
#11
27.90.2
26.726.6
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End5.4
Second
1712
#22
23.90.4
16.115.8
Auto6.3
Teleop13.2
End4.5
red by 4.5
1495
#24
19.50.1
18.918.8
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End3.5
Third
1370
#28
22.10.4
15.915.5
Auto6.8
Teleop13.9
End1.4
red by 3.3
423
#17
18.80.2
16.816.6
Auto4.9
Teleop10.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed