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Red66
463719.1
43322.0
397435.8
Blue93
1133.7
445431.8
149519.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78892040601001201401601806693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3974
#12
35.81.2
32.631.3
Auto11.1
Teleop18.4
End6.3
red by 2.1
11
#1
33.70.2
34.634.8
Auto9.0
Teleop20.6
End4.2
Second
433
#27
22.01.2
21.620.4
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End2.9
blue by 9.8
31.80.2
31.932.1
Auto7.5
Teleop19.4
End5.0
Third
4637
#13
19.11.2
22.921.7
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End2.6
blue by 0.3
1495
#24
19.50.2
18.418.6
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed