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Red87
20326.5
137022.1
149519.5
Blue88
116823.2
397435.8
121830.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60992040801201401608788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#10
26.51.2
25.426.6
Auto6.4
Teleop17.7
End2.4
blue by 9.3
3974
#12
35.80.2
36.836.6
Auto11.1
Teleop18.4
End6.3
Second
1370
#28
22.11.3
20.822.1
Auto6.8
Teleop13.9
End1.4
blue by 8.1
30.20.2
30.530.3
Auto9.1
Teleop16.7
End4.4
Third
1495
#24
19.51.2
18.319.5
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End3.5
blue by 3.8
1168
#20
23.20.2
23.423.2
Auto1.6
Teleop16.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed