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Red54
42318.8
32117.4
21924.6
Blue89
22541.6
223425.8
209528.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions569702040801201401605489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#25
24.60.4
23.322.9
Auto6.9
Teleop13.4
End4.3
blue by 17.0
225
#2
41.60.1
36.536.6
Auto11.1
Teleop24.7
End5.8
Second
423
#17
18.80.7
19.719.0
Auto4.9
Teleop10.8
End3.1
blue by 9.6
28.40.1
25.725.8
Auto8.7
Teleop15.3
End4.4
Third
321
#19
17.40.7
17.216.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.0
End1.9
blue by 8.3
2234
#15
25.80.1
25.825.9
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed