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Red111
22541.6
137022.1
1133.7
Blue89
437317.4
19333.8
445431.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8782406010012014011189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#2
41.62.6
36.639.2
Auto11.1
Teleop24.7
End5.8
red by 7.8
193
#5
33.80.6
32.733.3
Auto6.1
Teleop22.0
End5.7
Second
11
#1
33.71.8
33.134.8
Auto9.0
Teleop20.6
End4.2
red by 1.9
31.80.6
31.431.9
Auto7.5
Teleop19.4
End5.0
Third
1370
#28
22.12.8
14.517.3
Auto6.8
Teleop13.9
End1.4
red by 4.7
4373
#29
17.40.9
16.417.3
Auto0.7
Teleop13.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed