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Red70
392920.3
30421.1
42318.8
Blue87
1133.7
139130.6
463719.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions569502040801201401607087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
304
#30
21.10.3
20.420.7
Auto5.9
Teleop11.7
End3.5
blue by 12.6
11
#1
33.70.1
34.534.6
Auto9.0
Teleop20.6
End4.2
Second
3929
#26
20.30.4
20.320.6
Auto8.3
Teleop8.8
End3.2
blue by 10.3
30.60.1
32.232.2
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End4.8
Third
423
#17
18.80.4
19.920.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.8
End3.1
blue by 0.3
4637
#13
19.10.1
19.519.5
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed