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Red80
42318.8
10324.9
121830.2
Blue105
22541.6
48418.0
70833.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731015015080105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.3
30.230.5
Auto9.1
Teleop16.7
End4.4
blue by 11.4
225
#2
41.60.8
42.543.3
Auto11.1
Teleop24.7
End5.8
Second
103
#18
24.90.4
24.925.3
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End6.4
blue by 8.6
708
#6
33.50.7
34.535.2
Auto7.6
Teleop16.2
End9.7
Third
423
#17
18.80.3
20.220.6
Auto4.9
Teleop10.8
End3.1
red by 0.8
484
#23
18.00.8
17.117.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsMissed89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsEarned