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Red126
22541.6
1133.7
42318.8
Blue93
445431.8
19333.8
43322.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122109608010014016018020012693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#2
41.60.4
42.742.4
Auto11.1
Teleop24.7
End5.8
red by 7.8
193
#5
33.80.5
34.433.9
Auto6.1
Teleop22.0
End5.7
Second
11
#1
33.70.4
34.934.5
Auto9.0
Teleop20.6
End4.2
red by 1.9
31.80.5
32.532.0
Auto7.5
Teleop19.4
End5.0
Third
423
#17
18.80.4
20.019.6
Auto4.9
Teleop10.8
End3.1
blue by 3.1
433
#27
22.00.5
22.622.2
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End2.9