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Red84
34133.5
48625.4
540725.8
Blue76
397432.6
437319.3
121833.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions799040601001201408476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#31
33.50.0
33.733.8
Auto6.5
Teleop19.2
End7.7
blue by 0.3
1218
#23
33.80.6
32.531.8
Auto9.0
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Second
5407
#11
25.80.0
21.922.0
Auto10.3
Teleop11.8
End3.6
blue by 6.8
3974
#27
32.60.6
34.333.7
Auto11.1
Teleop16.5
End4.9
Third
486
#13
25.40.0
22.622.7
Auto8.5
Teleop12.0
End4.9
red by 6.1
4373
#26
19.30.6
18.718.0
Auto1.3
Teleop15.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed