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Red77
542021.5
116823.7
434230.8
Blue106
22551.6
27224.7
463721.9
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7210040608012014016077106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.2
27.928.1
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End4.5
blue by 20.8
225
#1
51.60.2
42.742.9
Auto13.7
Teleop29.2
End8.8
Second
1168
#29
23.70.2
24.024.2
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End4.9
blue by 1.0
272
#28
24.70.2
29.429.6
Auto9.4
Teleop11.3
End4.0
Third
5420
#35
21.50.2
22.122.3
Auto3.1
Teleop14.1
End4.3
blue by 0.4
4637
#12
21.90.2
20.620.8
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed