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Red99
549018.1
48429.0
121833.8
Blue85
495433.4
116823.7
255926.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6671506080909985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#23
33.82.3
30.232.5
Auto9.0
Teleop19.3
End5.5
red by 0.4
33.40.8
22.423.1
Auto9.4
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Second
484
#19
29.02.3
18.020.3
Auto9.1
Teleop14.4
End5.5
red by 2.3
2559
#18
26.70.8
22.723.5
Auto8.3
Teleop15.7
End2.7
Third
5490
#25
18.12.3
16.618.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End2.0
blue by 5.6
1168
#29
23.70.8
23.224.0
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed