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Red125
518127.8
70838.8
434230.8
Blue105
48625.4
114337.3
121833.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89907080100110120125105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#2
38.81.5
36.638.1
Auto6.9
Teleop20.8
End11.1
red by 1.5
37.31.2
30.932.1
Auto8.8
Teleop23.9
End4.5
Second
30.81.5
27.428.9
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End4.5
blue by 3.0
1218
#23
33.81.2
32.533.7
Auto9.0
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Third
5181
#14
27.81.5
24.025.4
Auto9.4
Teleop13.5
End4.9
red by 2.4
486
#13
25.41.2
23.124.3
Auto8.5
Teleop12.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed