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Red80
260726.9
121833.8
139126.0
Blue95
540435.1
34133.5
31622.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93937080901001101208095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#23
33.80.7
33.733.0
Auto9.0
Teleop19.3
End5.5
blue by 1.3
5404
#10
35.10.3
37.336.9
Auto6.3
Teleop24.4
End4.4
Second
2607
#36
26.90.7
29.428.7
Auto8.6
Teleop14.5
End3.7
blue by 6.6
341
#31
33.50.3
31.931.6
Auto6.5
Teleop19.2
End7.7
Third
1391
#33
26.00.7
27.626.8
Auto8.1
Teleop12.7
End5.3
red by 4.1
316
#15
22.00.3
20.820.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed