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Red104
465331.1
36539.0
540435.1
Blue41
437319.3
171226.3
34133.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119755010015010441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#5
39.00.4
40.940.5
Auto8.8
Teleop23.1
End7.1
red by 5.5
341
#31
33.52.6
31.629.0
Auto6.5
Teleop19.2
End7.7
Second
5404
#10
35.10.4
36.936.6
Auto6.3
Teleop24.4
End4.4
red by 8.8
1712
#20
26.32.6
29.026.4
Auto7.3
Teleop14.9
End4.1
Third
31.10.4
31.631.2
Auto8.9
Teleop16.8
End5.5
red by 11.8
4373
#26
19.32.6
19.116.6
Auto1.3
Teleop15.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed