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Red79
495433.4
463721.9
70838.8
Blue59
42327.0
121833.8
81619.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9477501507959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#2
38.80.6
37.636.9
Auto6.9
Teleop20.8
End11.1
red by 5.0
1218
#23
33.81.2
33.031.8
Auto9.0
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Second
33.40.6
29.528.9
Auto9.4
Teleop18.4
End5.6
red by 6.4
423
#22
27.01.2
24.423.2
Auto8.0
Teleop13.9
End5.1
Third
4637
#12
21.90.6
21.520.9
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End2.0
red by 2.6
816
#30
19.31.2
20.018.8
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed