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Red92
518127.8
48429.0
255926.7
Blue91
70838.8
34133.5
315117.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75870501001502009291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#19
29.00.8
23.424.2
Auto9.1
Teleop14.4
End5.5
blue by 9.8
708
#2
38.80.5
36.937.5
Auto6.9
Teleop20.8
End11.1
Second
5181
#14
27.80.8
26.727.5
Auto9.4
Teleop13.5
End4.9
blue by 5.7
341
#31
33.50.5
29.029.5
Auto6.5
Teleop19.2
End7.7
Third
2559
#18
26.70.8
24.825.6
Auto8.3
Teleop15.7
End2.7
red by 8.9
3151
#34
17.80.5
17.117.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed