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Red111
121833.8
27224.7
540132.7
Blue95
260726.9
495433.4
397432.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions839620406012014016011195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#23
33.81.9
31.833.7
Auto9.0
Teleop19.3
End5.5
red by 0.4
33.40.2
28.929.1
Auto9.4
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Second
32.71.9
26.428.3
Auto3.9
Teleop19.8
End9.1
red by 0.1
3974
#27
32.60.2
34.835.0
Auto11.1
Teleop16.5
End4.9
Third
272
#28
24.71.9
24.426.3
Auto9.4
Teleop11.3
End4.0
blue by 2.2
2607
#36
26.90.2
27.728.0
Auto8.6
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed