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Red97
116823.7
164043.3
36539.0
Blue87
437319.3
540435.1
255926.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11574501001502009787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.9
38.537.6
Auto13.8
Teleop24.4
End5.1
red by 8.2
5404
#10
35.10.6
36.637.3
Auto6.3
Teleop24.4
End4.4
Second
365
#5
39.00.9
41.440.6
Auto8.8
Teleop23.1
End7.1
red by 12.3
2559
#18
26.70.6
22.923.6
Auto8.3
Teleop15.7
End2.7
Third
1168
#29
23.70.9
25.324.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End4.9
red by 4.4
4373
#26
19.30.6
18.018.7
Auto1.3
Teleop15.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsMissed88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed