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Red126
70838.8
22551.6
542021.5
Blue74
397432.6
139126.0
31622.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113825010015012674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
51.61.4
48.249.5
Auto13.7
Teleop29.2
End8.8
red by 19.1
3974
#27
32.61.7
36.134.4
Auto11.1
Teleop16.5
End4.9
Second
708
#2
38.81.4
37.538.8
Auto6.9
Teleop20.8
End11.1
red by 12.8
1391
#33
26.01.7
27.125.4
Auto8.1
Teleop12.7
End5.3
Third
5420
#35
21.51.4
19.621.0
Auto3.1
Teleop14.1
End4.3
blue by 0.5
316
#15
22.01.7
21.419.7
Auto7.5
Teleop11.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
10%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed