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Red70
397432.6
137019.2
27224.7
Blue76
437319.3
70838.8
10324.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818640601001207076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3974
#27
32.61.0
34.433.4
Auto11.1
Teleop16.5
End4.9
blue by 6.3
708
#2
38.80.4
38.838.4
Auto6.9
Teleop20.8
End11.1
Second
272
#28
24.71.0
26.725.8
Auto9.4
Teleop11.3
End4.0
red by 0.2
103
#17
24.50.4
26.325.9
Auto2.0
Teleop17.1
End5.4
Third
1370
#37
19.21.0
18.217.3
Auto8.6
Teleop9.7
End0.9
blue by 0.1
4373
#26
19.30.4
17.416.9
Auto1.3
Teleop15.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsMissed86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed20%Capture oddsEarned