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Red86
43326.0
315117.8
495433.4
Blue73
116823.7
139126.0
549018.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7865020401001201408673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.2
30.030.2
Auto9.4
Teleop18.4
End5.6
red by 7.3
1391
#33
26.00.5
25.426.0
Auto8.1
Teleop12.7
End5.3
Second
433
#16
26.00.2
26.126.2
Auto7.0
Teleop14.9
End4.1
red by 2.3
1168
#29
23.70.5
23.323.9
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End4.9
Third
3151
#34
17.80.2
17.517.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.0
blue by 0.3
5490
#25
18.10.5
16.517.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed