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Red66
48625.4
463721.9
540435.1
Blue118
34133.5
42327.0
495433.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions918420406010012014016066118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5404
#10
35.11.4
37.536.1
Auto6.3
Teleop24.4
End4.4
red by 1.7
341
#31
33.52.0
28.430.4
Auto6.5
Teleop19.2
End7.7
Second
486
#13
25.41.4
27.225.8
Auto8.5
Teleop12.0
End4.9
blue by 8.0
33.42.0
30.232.2
Auto9.4
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Third
4637
#12
21.91.4
22.921.5
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End2.0
blue by 5.1
423
#22
27.02.0
24.326.3
Auto8.0
Teleop13.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed