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Red128
22551.6
171226.3
255926.7
Blue69
518127.8
542021.5
139126.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108715015012869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
51.61.3
50.151.4
Auto13.7
Teleop29.2
End8.8
red by 23.8
5181
#14
27.80.4
27.827.5
Auto9.4
Teleop13.5
End4.9
Second
2559
#18
26.71.3
24.125.4
Auto8.3
Teleop15.7
End2.7
red by 0.7
1391
#33
26.00.4
26.025.6
Auto8.1
Teleop12.7
End5.3
Third
1712
#20
26.31.3
24.926.2
Auto7.3
Teleop14.9
End4.1
red by 4.8
5420
#35
21.50.4
20.520.2
Auto3.1
Teleop14.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed